Articles
Five technical notes, tightened into a clearer reading arc
The archive is now shorter and denser: three notes that trace the Polymarket journey, plus two cross-cutting playbooks on backtests and execution.
Reading path
Three phases, then two playbooks
The archive now reads like a guided technical case study instead of ten separate notes competing for attention.
Phase 01
What I Learned Trying to Predict Polymarket Bets
Phase 02
15-Minute Trading on Polymarket
Phase 03
HFT on Polymarket: Model, Rust, and the 98% Lie
Polymarket case study
Start with the journey
These three pieces tell the story in order: long-horizon prediction, 15-minute execution, then HFT infrastructure.
Reusable lessons
Keep the useful playbooks
These two notes distill the execution rules that kept the rest of the work honest: one for simulation realism, one for bot operations.
Back to portfolio
Prefer the end-to-end story first? Jump to the condensed Polymarket project page and come back here for the supporting notes.